Showing posts with label malcolm gladwell. Show all posts
Showing posts with label malcolm gladwell. Show all posts

Monday, March 31, 2025

The Tipping Point: How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference

The Tipping Point: How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference by Malcolm Gladwell

Malcolm Gladwell explores different things that have "tipped" to go from niche to widely popular. Hush Puppies were old shoes that were on their way out. After a few New York hipsters adopted them, they became incredibly popular and a fashion statement. Another shoe brand, Airwalk was crazy popular as it was adopted by the skater crowd. They released a "popular" version at shoe stores, but kept the performance brand at skate stores. However, once they dropped the special skate brand, their popularity faded. The book explores other "tips" such as New York crime and fare evasion, teen activities (like smoking, school shootings, sickness and suicides. The Stanford prison experiment even makes an appearance. There are interesting discussions on the influence of "connectors" and "mavens" in spreading fads. The book is a fun read, even if some of the explanation may have more nuance than he gives.

Friday, March 07, 2025

Revenge of the Tipping Point: Overstories, Superspreaders, and the Rise of Social Engineering

Revenge of the Tipping Point: Overstories, Superspreaders, and the Rise of Social Engineering by Malcolm Gladwell

People will often "tip" to a different view when a significant number pivot to another view. The number differs, but is often 1/4 to 1/3. These "tips" can be good or bad. Understanding the "tips" can help influence policy. However, there are social issues to consider. Housing integration lead to white flight when neighborhoods as people wanted to get out while they good. Many people would be fine with a 20% black neighborhood. However, they felt that 20% was just the first step towards 100% black. Limiting the numbers could have improved integration, but at the expense of personal ability to live where desired. For air pollution, significant effort is spent on emission testing cars. However, technology exists to identify most polluting vehicles on the road. The highest polluters contribute dis to air pollution. Forcing them to fix their cars (or impounding them) would cause the most significant improvement. However, what if they don't have resources to fix their car? Is it fair?

The book examines a few medical tipping points. In the opioid epidemic, states that required narcotic prescriptions in triplicate had a smaller problem and how trying to limit abuse ended up driving many addicts underground. For vaccines, Waldorf schools tend to have very low vaccination rates. The culture of the school tends to encourage lower vaccination rates, with even the same family having lower vaccination after attending the schools. Doctors themselves are very influenced by their local culture. Some hospitals have higher rates of procedures, influence by common tipping points.


There are many other examples of how people can be influenced by seemingly random things. For example, Will and Grace helped paint gays as normal and paved the way for gay marriage. A community with "great" schools and a driven population could fall to a suicide epidemic due in part to sameness without resiliency. The book includes narration as well as audio clips from involved parties making it a great pop-science book.

Wednesday, November 06, 2024

The Bomber Mafia

The Bomber Mafia: A Dream, a Temptation, and the Longest Night of the Second World War by Malcolm Gladwell

The American Air Force was an offshoot of the Army. Some leaders were isolated in Alabama. They were intrigued by precision bombing. Rather than blanket a large area with many bombs on a night time raid, they would use calculations to drop a few well-placed bombs on a critical target to hamper the enemies war efforts. The British, however, were in favor of the nighttime raids and annihilation bombing of working class neighborhoods. They thought this would help demoralize the enemy. (Alas, the British did not learn from their own experience in the Blitz. They were extensively bombed, but kept the faith.)  This audiobook traces some of the characters in bombing discussion. Some are portrayed as sadists that want violence, while others are skilled aviators that want to do what is right. They all set the future for the current air force and the precision bombing of today.

Friday, May 31, 2024

Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking

Blink: The Power of Thinking Without Thinking by Malcolm Gladwell

I think I read this book a while ago, but I seem to halve lost all records of it. in the book, Gladwell provides a number of short anecdotes and background for "snap judgements". Sometimes we can find things subconsciously without knowing how we know it. This can be useful or detrimental depending of the situation. People often have the ability to "mind read" in situations to better understand what others are thinking. For police officers, this is a critical skill that can often be a matter of life or death. The book explores a few cases of cops killing innocent men in response to snap judgements.

On the more positive side, the book explores how experts can quickly identify a fake statue, even when the "evidence" seems to point to it being genuine. The University of Washington "love lab" can identify couples that will remain together after only viewing a short bit of their interactions. They use detailed by-second coding to quantify this process. 

The book also explores how market research and asking people about their thoughts can backfire. Pepsi would win taste tests because it was sweeter. This allowed it to win the "quick taste", even in cases, but doesn't show the long term impact. The two colas are so close together, that most people would have difficulty picking out the different one in a group of three. Market research could also lead to many "different" items being avoided. It is difficult to distinguish between "different" and "bad".

Wednesday, February 15, 2023

I Hate the Ivy League: Riffs and Rants on Elite Education

The United States higher education system is one of the best in the world. Yet, it is also one of the most exclusive. The top schools get a huge amount of the money and the best students. Even attempts to increase access can often backfire. Schools are spending more and more on fancy facilities and amenities. 

Brown v Board of Education is an interesting case. The family didn't want the school district to tell them what school they could go to. However, they liked the school that they were going to and felt they were getting a good education. The Supreme Court instead declared that the black schools were inferior. Instead of integrating teachers, school district tried to integrate students. There was a great loss of black teachers and closure of black school. Black students tend to fare better and more likely to be in high achievement programs if they had a black teacher. Integration ended up hurting black students.

Our systems of school admissions (and even elections in general) has many artificial gatekeepers. The LSAT filters for fast test takers. This may be useful for quick business contracts, not so much for complex Supreme Court cases. Elections filter for charismatic speakers, not good administrators. School admission criteria in general are not very useful. Even in science, there is almost no relationship between the rating of proposed research and the citations of the research. Lotteries after a very basic filter would produce greater success.


Saturday, January 21, 2023

Miracle and Wonder: Conversations with Paul Simon

Miracle and Wonder is an audiobook-only conversation with Paul Simon. There is discussion of his life and songwriting craft, with the songs played as they are discussed. The authors clearly lionize him. Though often associated with folk, Simon does not like to be pigeonholed in any genre. He is apologetic about his involvement with South African musicians during the time of apartheid. (The black musicians did get a kick out of being driven by white limo drivers in New York.) There is insight into his craft as well as the songs that he no longer plays because they are not applicable to his current stage in life. (Maybe Blink-182 could learn a thing about that...)

Saturday, November 02, 2019

Talking to Strangers: What We Should Know about the People We Don't Know

The Talking to Strangers audiobook was produced more like a podcast, with a number of actual clips and re-enactments of relevant events. Malcolm Gladwell how people often do a really bad job of judging people we do not know. One problem is that we have certain facial clues that we think identify feelings and motivation. These features are displayed predominantly by characters in US sitcoms. However, they are not common to all societies or people. Often people can appear "guilty" simply because of their natural mannerisms. The disconnect between what is observed and actual character and feelings ends up causing all sorts of issues.
In one study, subjects participating in a study were given the opportunity to cheat. Later, the study recorded the subjects being questioned about whether or not they cheated. People judging these evaluation could easily identify liars who behaved like "liars" should (blushing, fidgety, etc.) However, they were regularly misled by those that gave confusing clues. A fidgety truth teller or a confident liar were more often than not misjudged.
People that think they can read character often fall victims to these assumptions. Judges that set bail want to meet and talk with the defendant to judge whether they can be set free. However, a blind AI that only looks at the rap sheet produced much more effective results.
Sex, violence, alcohol and protests all play a role in some of the difficult to judge situations. I wonder how often are criminal justice system is making things worse. An example was given of a psychologist who helps people uncover the deep sexual abuse that they may be repressing. Is this really unearthing something or just causing past feelings to be altered? The book also talks about people that were on friendly terms with people that were later accused of child sexual abuse. They later switch sides to fight against the abuser. Did the case turn something that did not impact them into something that they now find damaging? Or perhaps they are just showing solidarity or now see a chance to earn money. Do these cases really benefit victims? Or do they just create more victims. The witch hunts that come out afterwards create more issues. Churches are being bankrupted because of past priest activities. School presidents are being sued because they did not take "appropriate actions" against alleged perpetrators. However, the evidence that they had to consider were often circumstantial at best.

By default people assume others are telling the truth. If not, society will be painfully difficult to manage. However, this allows the non-truth tellers to continue on. How do we appropriately find the bad apples while not grinding society to a halt. The Amanda Knox case provided the counter to the Sandusky case. She just looked guilty. She served time in jail. When she was finally acquitted, there were Italian protests of a miscarriage of justice. In her case, the behavior seemed to indicate guilt despite innocence. With Sandusky, there was apparent innocence despite guilt. How can we make good decisions. (And are these decisions even right? Sandusky still maintains his innocence even after conviction.)

The Brock Turner case introduces alcohol to the story and makes it even messier. Two people at a party are blackout drunk engaging in sexual activity. One of them passes out as the other continues. Had that been all, they would have probably woken up later and wondered what exactly happened and wished they had not had so much to drink. However, two people stumbled across them. Brock ran away. Now he is branded for life as a sex criminal. The judge in the case last his position because he wasn't deemed by the public as hard enough. But is the case really cut and dry. If both parties are too drunk to remember, how could a rape even take place? Neither party could legally give consent. The laws concerning drinking and sexuality create a big mess. Sexual activity is legal if there is consent. However, people don't agree on what consent is. Further more, when drunk people's ability to make judgements and remember events is impaired. Somebody may have granted what appeared to be consent in the moment, but not remembered doing so. The only witnesses are often two people with incomplete, human memories trying to piece things together. They are heavily coached by attorneys to say the right thing. They may believe they are telling the truth. But, that does not mean they are. This is a problem with our entire legal system. Sex crimes can be even worse because whether or not it is a crime depends almost entirely on the victim's intent. The punishment is also extreme, with sex criminals often being required to register as a sex offender for life.

In the court of public opinion can even be worse. The chat rooms love to "speak up for the little guy". Anybody committing an offense against children most be 100% evil. Anybody that employed them or even said something slightly positive about them must also be punished. Thus, the judge in the Brock Turner case lost his job because he agreed with a lenient sentence. The President of Penn State was convicted of child endangerment. (He was able to have it overturned on a technicality - the law he was convicted under did not exist when he was deemed to have committed a crime.) This seems an awfully lot like a witch hunt. And it probably does not do much good for actual victims. Adults that were abused as children may not have been impacted at all by the actions. The accusations may actually create harm where none previously existed. For those that were harmed, they may be required to dredge up something that they have recovered from, or they may continue to be suffering. They could hope to relish in seeing the perpetrator suffer. For most people, that would be it. However, if the abuser happens to be part of a large organization, then the victim may receive a huge amount. The organizations are often ones that devote resources to youth. Because of a few bad apples these organizations are paying huge amounts to a few victims and their lawyers rather than helping youth. To protect themselves they must go overboard implementing strict policies to remove any prospective abusers. This may end up negatively impacting the children. (Abuse may continue outside the purview of organization. Or children may look for other, even worse sources of fulfillment.) The real winners here are primarily lawyers and politicians. They can claim to be doing something to protect children. The lawyers get the bonus of a big chunk of money.
At the same time, we have a movement in the opposite direction focused on police violence, especially against minorities. "Black Lives Matter" is primarily concerned with police being too harsh against black people. The cases that gain attention (and lead to protests) are often seemingly excessive responses to minor infractions. Malcolm Gladwell talks about the case of Sandra Brown who committed suicide in a jail cell after the escalation from a traffic stop due to a failure to signal a lane change. As with the rape case, there was blame on both sides. The cop probably should not have pulled her over in the first place. (She was moving to get out of his way!) He also should not have escalated the situation. However, she could have complied with orders and not had the situation escalate. She could also have made bail. She also committed suicide. While there are a few highly publicized cases of police brutality against innocent people, most cases start with a crime. Somebody commits an offense and then receives an excessive police response. This seems similar to the "throw the book at the sex offender" attitude, only the protestors are on the other side.
Amanda Knox served time in Italy for the murder of her roommate. When she was finally acquitted, people, convinced she did it, protested. When the judge in the Brock Turner case gave him a sentence less than people hoped for, the protestors led a recall campaign to remove him from the bench. When Michael Brown was shot in Missouri, people protested against police violence. The Jerry Sandusky situation was even more surreal with many heads rolling. Students and politicians Tennessee refused an offer to Greg Schiano because somebody provided third hand information that Schiano new something about Sandusky. The merits of a case do not matter so much as the court of public opinion. There is a need to defend the "weak" even if it means needlessly destroying others.
How do we prevent the bad apples, while still living a productive life? Kansas City did have a good experience. They focussed police patrols in high crime areas. The officers would pull cars over for the most minor crimes and then search for any more series violations. This worked because it was focused on the most high crime areas. Actions are often location dependent. Prostitutes like to work their street. Criminals work their turf. Even Golden Gate Bridge jumpers are likely to not commit suicide if they can't jump from the bridge. Alas, this "agressive" policing strategy does not help when carried out on a large scale. Most people committing minor infractions on a random road are innocent of other crimes. A generalized targetting may feel "just", but it is more likely to be a waste of time. How can we find Bernie Madoff's and their ponzi schemes without making financial transactions too onerous to complete? Trust but verify is a good catchword, but is still a challenge when dealing with strangers.

Sunday, September 06, 2015

David and Goliath

Malcolm Gladwell is an entertaining author. David and Goliath reads similar to his other books. He takes a sociological premise that seems somewhat counter-intuitive, and then uses a number of well-told anecdotes to help "prove" his point. In this book, the premise is that disadvantages can force people to work in other ways to "overcome the odds". The basketball full-court press was shown as an example of how weaker teams can beat better teams. (Though you have to wonder - if this works so well, why don't more teams do it.) Other stories present similar "Against the ods" victories. These are nice, well-told feel-good anecdotes that come together in an entertaining story. There is not a lot of strong "science" here, but plenty of well done entertainment.

Thursday, February 24, 2011

What the Dog Saw: And Other Adventures


This is a collection of Malcolm Gladwell essays in a tone similar to some of his other popular books. They all generally describe situations where the "obvious" is not necessarily the "truth". The various essays include stories of people who succeed in very narrow niches. Many essays also cover many common policies and actions that are known to be inferior, yet still done that way.
It opens with a tail of the chopomatic. The good pitchman is a great actor who also has the great ability to get people to part with their money. However, part of being the great pitchman was also innovation. Marketing and engineering were integrally combined in order to create things that could be well sold - on streets and via infomercials.

A story about plagiarism questions the line we have drawn between unlawful copying and "fair use". Homelessness is analyzed as a "power distribution" problem. Spending money to give apartments and regular care to the most chronic homeless may seem unjust, but it is much cheaper than having them regularly appear in the ER. "Safety features" can often cause more harm. Drivers with new anti-lock breaks became worse drivers than those without the safety features, while the accident rate plummeted in Sweden after they switched from the left to the right side of the road. Faults of profiling and improper generations are also included in some essays. It also shows how easy it is to find retrospective fault with efforts to counter terrorism (or Enron fraud), while many of the seemingly ignored "critical warnings" could legitimately be brushed aside as useless noise. "Puzzles" and "Mysteries" both require different tools to solve. Many problems today have huge amount of information available in plain sight. Making sense of it is the big problem.

Overall, it is a very good book that encourages a questioning of conventional wisdom, and the "crowd-think" reactions to many major events.