Showing posts with label Jonathan Keeble. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Jonathan Keeble. Show all posts

Saturday, September 12, 2026

Land Between the Rivers: A 5,000-Year History of Iraq

Land Between the Rivers: A 5,000-Year History of Iraq by Bartle Bull

This long history of Iraq spent too much time drifting off to wider events in the area. There is a huge description of major religious movements, such as Islam. While that may be nice for context, Iraq was not really involved until it was conquered by Islamic groups. I would have rather read a more concise book of history as it impacted Iraq. 

Wednesday, May 07, 2025

The Enlightenment: The Pursuit of Happiness, 1680-1790

The Enlightenment: The Pursuit of Happiness, 1680-1790 by Ritchie Robertson

This is an extremely long book that attempts to explore the entire enlightenment. However, it reads more like a book review. It goes through fields and countries to explore various works of the era and how they tie together in various themes. The time period does get a bit fluid, with Jane Austen books appearing also. In addition to books, there are other works such as plays or compositions by Mozart. The elites of the time were thinking outside the box. Rather than focus on the given knowledge and explanations, they worked to discover and obtain truths of their own. The scientific method started to make its way in society. There was striving for more equality. However, that definition was in flux. Slavery was on the rise. The French Revolution started with bold goals, but then fell apart as those that did not adhere were executed. The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire is emblematic of the thought. Is society on a path towards improvement or just oscillating? The book goes on for much to long to try to get to its answers.

Wednesday, March 13, 2024

Adapt: Why Success Always Starts with Failure

Adapt: Why Success Always Starts with Failure by Tim Harford

Failure and adaptation are the key to success. In biological, species don't make a plan to change. They simply let random differences occur as they adapt to surroundings. Some of these changes end up providing an advantage that becomes replicated. Changes that provide a distinct disadvantage typically fade away. Sometimes these changes come outside the natural environment. English bulldogs are bred to be pleasing to people. In the process, it has become difficult for them to reproduce themselves without human intervention.

Governments and other organizations will often try top-down approaches to dictate the desired outcomes. These approaches may minimize failure, but also minimize breakthrough success. In the case of scientific research, NIH funds "low risk, low reward" research, while HHMI will fund high risk, high reward research. When comparing scientists with similar backgrounds, those with the HHMI tend to produce more significant research than the others. 

Talking telephones were shown in the 1960s Jetsons cartoon. Today, Zoom and other video calls are common place. However, a planning body didn't set out with a plan in 1960 to have talking phones in 60 years. Instead, a number of unrelated innovations ended up coalescing together. The public internet rose out of a network for the defense department and research. Video and audio compression algorithms, microchips, fiber optics and many other components were developed and evolved for different purposes. Eventually video calls could be created by combining a few of these components.

Dictating a desired outcome can often have a deleterious impact. Players may look for a workaround that meets the desired criteria without providing the sought benefits. The fuel economy standards (CAFE) were meant to encourage more fuel efficient vehicles. Instead, they resulted in SUVs and larger vehicles that were classified as "light trucks" and thus adhered to lower standards. A better approach to reduce gasoline use would be to simply make the cost more expensive. This would encourage greater efficiency as well as alternative approaches. GU24 light sockets and energy efficient construction also fall victim to similar mandates. In finance, we often seek regulation to avoid the last disaster, which just enables seeking more loopholes and a potential new disaster. 

The biggest challenge with adapting and letting things come about is with "big problems". Finding a vaccine or a cure for a disease requires a lot of work and effort. Prizes can often be a part of the solution for these big challenges. Allowing internal changes can also help. A skunkworks project may provide a solution, or it may spin people in a different direction. Allowing people with different interests and talents can also help as they look for a new way of doing things. We need to continue to adapt to succeed.