Monday, September 22, 2008

Simple BCS fix

Currently there are 10 slots, champions of 6 conferences get in automatically (regardless of how bad they are), the top 2 get in to the championship game, and one 'non BCS' conference team gets in if it finishes in the top 12 (or top 16 ahead of a BCS conference team.) Then there are the additional rules (Notre Dame gets in if it is in the top 8, number 3 or 4 qualifies automatically if they are from a major conference without being the champion.) And then there are at-large teams who finish in the top-14 of the BCS standings (with at least 9 wins). The final caveat is that only two teams from a conference may be in the BCS.

The language is fairly clear - it is set up to enrich certain conferences at the expense of others. (Why do the rules for BCS #3 and #4 only apply to the 'BCS' conferences? And why are automatic qualifiers limited to one in the non-BCS conferences?) Suppose an SEC team finished 1st, with a MWC team 2nd, a WAC team 3rd and an SEC team 4th. The 4th ranked SEC team would automatically qualify, while the 3rd ranked WAC champion would be out.

For an ultimate BCS-buster, we would need something like:
1. MWC
2. WAC
3. SEC
4. PAC10
5. Big10
6. BigEast
7. ACC
8. Big12
9. Sunbelt
10. MWC
11. WAC
12. MWC
13. CUSA
14. MAC

An oddity of the current language of the selection process, is that the 2nd-ranked WAC team would not necessarily receive an automatic berth (because that is limited to 1 team from non big 6 conferences) However, I cannot see them refusing a number 2. However, if the at-large pool is limited to non-BCS teams, then the hand is pretty much called, and they will have to be taken.

As simpler format, why not eliminate the conference specification from the language. And change automatic qualification to include (in order of precedence)
1) Top 2 teams automatically qualify for the championship game
2) Top 6 ranked conference champions ranked in the top 12 automatically qualify
3) Independents in the top 8 automatically qualify
4) teams ranked 3 or 4 and not automatically qualified

Then for at large include:
1) Conference champions with at least 9 wins that did not automatically qualify
2) Teams ranked in the top 12 that did not automatically qualify

This would remove some of the bias.

The current poll standings could set us up from some interesting bowls
1) USC (pac10)*
2) Oklahoma (big12)*
3) Georgia (sec)*
4) Florida (sec)*
5) LSU (sec)
6) Missouri (big12)
7) Texas (big12)
8) Alabama (sec)
9) Wisconsin (big10)*
10) Texas Tech (big12)
11) BYU (mwc)*
12) Penn State (big10)
13) South Florida (Bigeast)*
14) Ohio State (big10)
15) Auburn (sec)
16) Wake Forest (acc)*
17) Utah (mwc)
18) Kansas (big12)
19) Boise State (wac)
As it currently stands: USC, Oklahoma, Georgia, Florida, Wisconsin, BYU, South Florida and Wake Forest would get automatic bids. One at large bid would go to a big12 team, and one would go to a big 10 team, and all would be fine and dandy in BCS-land

However, some of these teams will likely beat each other up, leaving a potential standing more like:
1) USC (pac10)*
2) Oklahoma (big12)*
3) Georgia (sec)*
4) Florida (sec)*
5) LSU (sec)
6) BYU (mwc)*
7) Texas (big12)
8) Alabama (sec)
9) Wisconsin (big10)*
10) Wake Forest (acc)*
11) Missouri (big12)
12) Auburn (sec)
13) South Florida (Bigeast)*
14) Boise State (wac)
15) Penn State (big10)
16) Texas Tech (big12)
17) Utah (mwc)
18) Kansas (big12)
19) Ohio State (big 10)


USC and Oklahoma would qualify automatically
Georgia, Wake Forest, South Florida and Wisconsin would get in as conference champions
BYU would get in as the 'BCS buster'.
Florida would get in with the K-state rule.
This would leave two at large spots. LSU, Auburn, and Alabama would be out (from SEC)
Texas would probably be in as the top ranked at large team. This would eliminate Missouri from further consideration. Thus Boise State would be the only remaining at large team.

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